Where is Messaging Technology Headed in the Next Century?

By Jeffrey Schwartz, InternetWeek

But information technology professionals and e-mail managers today have probably only seen the tip of the iceberg. Sure e-mail volumes double every year and many corporations are deploying or already managing their second or even third-generation messaging systems.

For those with the most up-to-date platforms, migrations brought on by merger or acquisition are the issue of the day. For the vast majority, the issue is more trying to keep up with the entire technology wave while providing e-mail dial-tone with limited budgets.

Yet looking ahead to the next century, it is safe to say that electronic messaging is just starting to become mainstream. It will continue to become more ubiquitous as individuals rely more and more on e-mail and real-time information access in every facet of their lives. Society will continue to become more message-centric, as we communicate with our families to automating business processes and everything in between. Based purely on personal observations and years of conversations with CIOs, e-mail managers, analysts, software vendors and telecommunications service providers, it is becoming increasingly evident that messaging technology will evolve in both consumer and business circles and basically touch everything all individuals do. There's no looking back. In fact as more consumers use e-mail for routine communications, it will have an even more taxing affect on how company's consider their information systems and messaging architectures. That said, here's one view, without statistical validation, of what IT managers thinking about the next century might want to consider as requirements for so-called messaging dial-tone.

Ubiquitous Access
Users will demand the option to retrieve their messages from any device, regardless of location and time. It will be up to IT organizations to make that possible, securely. Gateways to the Internet that let users access their messages from Web browsers, already allow users to retrieve mirror images of their mailboxes. However many IT shops are not taking advantage of these new capabilities, due to concerns about security. But as Web kiosks start to crop up in shopping malls, airports and hotels, users will see these as a nice option to lugging their laptops around.

Consumer Use of E-Mail
Your job might be to handle a corporate messaging system, but the rate at which homes are capable of receiving e-mail, either through PCs, televisions or new information appliances, will increase exponentially. And make no mistake, those systems will be linked to your networks, whether it's employees trying to send e-mail via the Internet to the kids (perhaps carrying alphanumeric pagers) to consumers expecting messages after an order was placed via the Web. We see this today, when someone orders a computer from Dell over the Internet, and they receive an e-mail confirming their order. Electronic commerce applications and transaction processing systems will generate more routine messages, based on specific events.

Mail-Enabled Applications
Once used for high end-business critical applications, expect to see more users clamor for mainstream processes to be automated. As more data is gathered electronically (i.e., from handheld computing devices), individuals will demand more than ever to see forms like expense reports and purchase orders processed through the network.

Universal Messaging
This will be the longest in coming but the inbox that gathers all information is already evolving. When the majority of users can receive any message type, such as faxes, in that inbox remains to be seen. Less certain is whether the inbox will become a common option for retrieving voice mail.

Interoperability
The notion that messaging systems were once disparate will eventually become a distant memory. Integration and migration will continue into the next century. The obsolescence of many systems is already forcing the installation of newer systems, which connect to other modern systems, through the Internet, at the lowest common denominator.

Reliability
This is the common denominator which can be applied to the above-mentioned items. Internet standards, software and hardware will someday evolve to the point where getting a message of any type can be delivered in near real-time. Customers will demand it. The issue of guaranteed delivery someday will not be a factor.

The only question to all of this is, when?

Jeff Schwartz will be speaking on the "Universal Messaging Wars" session on Wednesday, April 29 from 4:30-6:00 at EMA'98 in Anaheim, California.